CBB DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Breakdowns & Cheat Sheets 1/13
There's just one set of games on both DraftKings and FanDuel tonight, but Mike Holland will still find you the best value on both!
Very rarely do we get the exact same CBB slate on DraftKings and FanDuel, but tonight we do! An eight-game main slate starting at 7:00 p.m. EST that features plenty of late-night Pac 12 action. Let's break it down.
- #16 Ohio State (+3.5) @ #13 Wisconsin - 139.5 O/U
- Butler (-1.5) @ Georgetown - 137.5 O/U
- Oklahoma State (+7.5) @ #19 Texas Tech - 129.5 O/U
- Indiana (+4.5) @ Iowa - 150.5 O/U
- Oregon (+10.5) @ #3 UCLA - 141.5 O/U
- BYU (+14.5) @ #2 Gonzaga - 151.5 O/U
- Colorado (+15.5) @ #6 Arizona - 152.5 O/U
- Oregon State (+15.5) @ #5 USC - 140.5 O/U
DraftKings and FanDuel CBB DFS Slate Breakdown
There are three games tonight with projected totals exceeding 150 points but we start with the one expected to be the closest contest as Indiana travels to Iowa. Iowa F Keegan Murray ($9,500 DK, $8,500 FD) comes into tonight's slate as the leader in FPPG on both slates. He gets a really tough matchup against Indiana's frontcourt that leads the country in effective field goal percentage. He does carry a 33% shot rate and leads the team in usage, but with so many stud forwards on DK, we may want to look elsewhere. Iowa does have a high implied total tonight but it's really tough to figure where the production will come from outside of Murray as he is the only player seeing 30-plus minutes a night. If we want to take a stab at someone like G Jordan Bohannon ($6,200 DK, $4,800 FD) on FanDuel or Filip Rebraca ($4,700 DK, $4,800 FD) on DraftKings we don't mind it. Iowa on the defensive side has been ok this year, but they like to push the pace which puts Indiana players firmly in play. F Trayce Jackson-Davis ($9,300 DK, $8,100 FD) is an outright stud and averaged almost 20 and 10 last year in this matchup. The price is steep on DK, but we've seen him drop 50-plus fantasy points and this Iowa team struggles to keep teams off the offensive glass. This also puts F Race Thompson ($6,700 DK, $6,500 FD) in play as a double-double threat for a much cheaper price. We've seen Thompson completely blow up a slate so there's a chance he could do it tonight. Indiana G Parker Stewart ($3,100 DK, $4,500) is a solid value option as he's seen 64% of the minutes in conference play and has been knocking down spot up threes off Thompson's double teams. If he can provide any ancillary production we could see 5-6x value at the bare minimum which he's shown a few times already.
The second of the three major implied totals we like to target is Colorado hitting the road to take on #6 Arizona. This one is priced cheaper than the BYU/Gonzaga tilt which will allow us to save on some star power. Arizona is the #1 team in average possession length and #3 in adjusted tempo making them very fantasy friendly for both sides. Arizona F Christian Koloko ($7,500 DK, $8,400 FD) has been balling in three of the last four games and is coming off a 22/10 effort against Washington. We saw Koloko receive his highest minutes of the season last game and he's one of our favorite plays on DK. He's shooting 62% from the field and averaging 4.5 combined blocks and steals. This gives him a solid floor and massive ceiling combined with a nice matchup. Frontcourt mate F Azuolas Tubelis ($8,400 DK, $7,200 FD) has taken a little bit of a backseat during the last two games, but we know he's capable of dropping a double double as well in this spot. His price is appealing on FanDuel and more of a contrarian option on DK. G Bennedict Mathurin ($8,100 DK, $8,700 FD) has been on another level in six of the last seven games. In that span he dropped 27 points against Washington, 28 at Tennessee, 30 at Illinois and 29 at Oregon State. We expect him to be popular given his decent rebounding rates to go with his scoring outburst over the last six weeks. Another play we need to look at is G Kerr Kriisa ($6,400 DK, $6,400 FD). Kriisa combines his solid assist rate with a bunch of three-point attempts in what can produce 5-6x at this price. However he can get lost in this offense around the bigs so there is some risk. For Colorado, the pace bump will put our guy F Jabari Walker ($7,000 DK, $6,000 FD) in a solid spot. Walker leads the team in usage and shot share to go along with a 37% combined rebounding rate. We know Arizona is going to chuck so there should be an opportunity for a double double here for Walker especially if they can keep it close. G Keeshawn Barthelemy ($6,000 DK, $5,500 FD) should also benefit from the pace tonight given his 24% shot share and 19% assist rate. His price on FD is a little more favorable but has still has upside on DK.
It feels like a stars and scrubs night with so many big names on the slate. When rostering studs tonight, we have to take a strong look at Wisconsin G Johnny Davis ($9,400 DK, $8,600 FD), Ohio State F E.J. Liddell ($9,200 DK, $8,300 FD), and USC F Isaiah Mobley ($8,900 DK, $8,000 FD). Davis has put together an All-American type of season so far, posting 22.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Outside of the last game against Maryland, Davis had strung together four-straight 40-plus fantasy point games on both sites. Liddell already blasted Wisconsin last month with a 28/9 effort. He's in great form having just buried Northwestern with 34 points so he's a strong option tonight. Mobley is a little cheaper and gets a nice matchup against an Oregon State team that is terrible at keeping teams off the glass and defending two-point field goal percentage. These are two areas Mobley should be able to take advantage of while carrying a very safe floor.
Sliding down to the mid-tier pricing, we find UCLA G Johnny Juzang ($7,400 DK, $6,200 FD) with almost a season-low price tag. Juzang hasn't had the best three game stretch, but he's capable of producing a big night on any slate. He still leads the team with a 31% shot share but he's a bit scoring dependent. We like him more on FanDuel where he gets a nice discount, but don't mind the DK price tag with 5x upside. Georgetown G Aminu Mohammed ($6,800 DK, $7,600) doesn't get the best opponent in Butler, but his usage in this offense is hard to ignore. He's in play on DK where he's exceeded 4x multiple times at this price and more of a contrarian option on FD. Butler is one of the slowest teams in the country, but F Bryce Nze ($6,400 DK, $5,500 FD) is healthy and playing a pile of minutes. Georgetown isn't the strongest frontcourt so there is some upside but he is still very risky. If he's going to get 35 plus minutes, he does not have to be out of this world to hit value. We always like recommending Gonzaga G Andrew Nembhard ($6,800 DK, $5,700 FD) when he's in a matchup that is more challenging than the rest of their schedule. In games against Texas Tech, Duke, UCLA, Alabama and Texas he has played almost every minute. He only carries a 16% usage rate on the season but his shot rate and assist rate climb against tougher opponents so he's a sneaky target tonight against a tough BYU squad. On the BYU side, F Fousseyni Traore ($6,000 DK, $7,100 FD) has seen his minutes and production increase in conference play. He has double-digit boards in four of the last five games and offers shot-blocking upside. He's in play for a double double against a Gonzaga team that is 11th in pace and 4th in average possession length. Sliding back over to a USC team that has nearly an 80-point implied total, G Boogie Ellis ($6,200 DK, $5,400 FD) should have plenty of opportunity to produce. Ellis is playing 80% of the minutes in conference play to go along with a 21% shot rate. He's at a season-low price and we have seen him post 5-6x at his price on both sites so he's well worth a shot.
Finally, in order to jam all these studs in, we need to mix in some value, although it's tough to find. Ohio State G Malaki Branham ($4,800 DK, $6,300 FD) has been on fire recently and really coming into his own. FD gave him the mid-tier price bump, while DK still has him at the top of our value-tier pricing. He's played 33-plus minutes in the last three games and seems to be the second option moving forward behind Liddell. Oregon F Eric Williams Jr. ($4,400 DK, $4,600 FD) is coming off a very strong performance in 24 minutes against Oregon State. He has seen his minutes decrease this year and is now coming off the bench. He doesn't need a double double again at this price point and someone with his pedigree could put up 5x easily if given the minutes. Buyer beware on Williams though as this season has been a roller coaster for him and his role on this team. UCLA F Cody Riley ($3,400 DK, $5,000 FD) is back from injury and played a nice game against Cal. He saw his minutes climb up to 27 in that game and offers strong rebounding and ancillary production at almost the bare minimum on DK. Finally, we must pay attention to injury news that could open up value on the slate. Georgetown G Donald Carey and Texas Tech G Terrance Shannon are questionable and, as always with college sports, we never know when someone random might pop up on the injury report as we near lock.
Here are my all my favorite plays on each site.