Each week of the season, we’ll provide our favorite plays for that particular week on Monkey Knife Fight. Be sure to check out the weekly podcast as well for even more picks and a deeper look at the week’s slate!

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Week 7 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Games

Touchdown Dance (Early Slate)

Derrick Henry, Tyreek Hill, and Chuba Hubbard

● Henry: In four career games against Kansas City (including playoffs), Henry has six rushing scores against the Chiefs. Kansas City has allowed five rushing scores to running backs this year, meanwhile, Henry has 10 rushing scores himself through the first six weeks of the season.
● Hill: Hill has five touchdowns this season, but four of them have come in the last three weeks. He’s recorded at least 12 targets in three straight games and he has a great matchup ahead of him. Not only has Tennessee allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers this season, not to mention 10 receiving scores! Hill is going to crush this Tennessee defense.
● Hubbard: No Christian McCaffery means that Hubbard is the primary back for the Panthers in this one. Sam Darnold has been less than stellar of late, so in a matchup against a Giants defense that ranks 27th in rush DVOA, per Football Outsiders, why not rely on the run in this one? Expect a healthy dose of Hubbard in this one, which should bode well, considering that the Giants have allowed six touchdowns to opposing running backs in 2021.

More or Less (ATL @ MIA)

Calvin Ridley 16.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Jaylen Waddle 12.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

● Ridley: Ridley’s volume has been there this year and that will remain true in this contest. Miami has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game this season to opposing receivers, not to mention the most fantasy points per game over the last two weeks in particular.
● Waddle: In the two games that Tua Tagovailoa has started and finished the game, Waddle has put up 16.1 and 29 fantasy points (PPR). Atlanta has been abysmal against receivers this season, allowing the 10th-most fantasy points per game to the position thus far in 2021.

More or Less (DET @ LAR)

Jared Goff  14.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Cooper Kupp 20.5 Fantasy Points (LESS)

● Goff: You have to have a pretty bad game to only score 14.5 fantasy points as a quarterback. And yes, the past two games have been bad for Goff. However, both were against Top-10 teams in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked 14th, which is average. In his only game away versus an average defense, he scored 21.75 fantasy points. If he throws for 250 yards and one touchdown, that’s 18.5 fantasy points. Take the MORE.
● Kupp: Yes, I know that’s he’s the #1 receiver this year and is AVERAGING 25.5 fantasy points per game. However, in two out of the last three weeks, he’s “only” had 16.20 and 11.40 fantasy points. The Rams do not need to put up a ton of points to win this one. So, I don’t see the need for Kupp to have a monster game. I’ll take the LESS.

Rapid Fire – Fantasy Points (Early Slate)

Patrick Mahomes and Davante Adams

Lamar Jackson (+2.5 fantasy points) vs Patrick Mahomes: Lamar will have a shoot-out versus the Bengals this week. Both defenses have actually been solid this year, but that’s all thrown out the window when it’s an AFC North showdown. The problem is he’s going to have to score at least 28 points or more to beat Mahomes this week. So, I’m leaning towards Mahomes, but it will be close. Mahomes is going against a team ranked 27th in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. He averages 30.84 fantasy points and is 100% consistent over the past three years. So, why would we not want to pick Mahomes as the winner in this matchup.
Davante Adams (+0.5 fantasy points) vs Derrick Henry: Adams was a monster last week and this week should be no different! He gets a bad defense in Washington. Adams has averaged 27.91 fantasy points per game and is 100% consistent and should be your winner in this matchup this week. Henry also gets a bad defense this week as he plays home versus Kansas City. You would think Henry would kick ass at home versus a bad defense but his history has him averaging 24.00 fantasy points per game but only 67% consistency. I’m going to go with Adams in this one.