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Week 9 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Games

Touchdown Dance (Early Slate)

Jaylen Waddle, Ja’Marr Chase, and Ezekiel Elliott

● Waddle: The Texans have allowed five scores to wideouts over the past four weeks, not to mention the seventh-most fantasy points during that span. Waddle has three touchdowns on the year, and he’s averaging 11 targets per game over the last three weeks. If you get 11 targets against Houston, you’re scoring, easily.
● Chase: All Chase does is find the end zone. He’s scored in all but two games this season, and the Cleveland secondary has allowed the third-most receiving yards to wideouts over the last four weeks. Also, over the past four weeks, wide receivers have accounted for six scores against Cleveland. Chase is scoring this week.
● Elliott: Six. That’s the number to know. That’s the number of touchdowns scored by running backs against Denver over the past four weeks. Denver is one of just seven teams to have allowed that many touchdowns by opposing running backs during that span. He hasn’t scored since Week 5, but I’m not panicking one bit. Zeke has two multi-touchdown games on the season, and this is a great opportunity for a third.

More or Less (HOU @ MIA)

Myles Gaskin 40.5 Rushing Yards (MORE)

Brandin Cooks 68.5 Receiving Yards (MORE)

● Gaskin: There was a stretch where the workload wasn’t ideal, but Gaskin has received double-digit carries each of the last two weeks, totaling 67 rushing yards against Atlanta, and 36 against Buffalo. Houston has allowed the most rushing yards on the ground this year to running backs, and for this line to only be at 40.5 is an absolute steal. Gaskin will exceed 40 rushing yards before halftime.
● Cooks: Cooks has at least six targets in all but one game this year, and after a cold stretch, he came back in garbage time last week, going for 83 yards and a score against the Rams. He’s surpassed 70 receiving yards three times with Davis Mills, but if Tyrod Taylor is able to return (Cooks put up 210 yards in the first two weeks of the season; 5.5 quarters with Taylor), he should exceed this mark.

More or Less (BUF @ JAX)

Josh Allen 26.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and 

Trevor Lawrence 17.5 Fantasy Points (LESS)

● Allen: Josh Allen has played five games this season versus bad defenses (bottom 10 in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks). He has averaged 34.80 fantasy points per game. So, it would seem that since he’s playing the Jaguars this week who are ranked 27th in giving up fantasy points, that it would be obvious to take MORE.
● Lawrence: Trevor Lawrence will hopefully be a good fantasy quarterback someday, but this week is not it. Lawrence gets the Bills this week who ranked #1 in giving up the fewest fantasy points per game. They have only given up over 17.50 fantasy points twice all year and one of them was Patrick Mahomes. I’m leaning towards taking the LESS for Lawrence this week.


More or Less (Early Slate)

Alvin Kamara 19.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

Kirk Cousins 19.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

● Kamara: You would think that Kamara playing at home versus a bad defense would be an obvious MORE choice, but hear me out. Kamara has played three games at home this year and he’s only averaging 15.57 fantasy points per game. However, I’m going to take the MORE in this game for two reasons. The first one is due to them playing their NFC South rivals, the Falcons and the second is the Falcons are ranked 24th in giving up fantasy points to running backs at an average of 26.70 fantasy points per game. Take the MORE.
● Cousins: It’s very weird when Kirk Cousins is the easier decision to take the MORE. However, this week he plays on the road at Baltimore and the Ravens rank 20th in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. This year, Cousins has averaged 28.50 fantasy points per game and is 100% consistent. So, please take the MORE here as well.