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Week 11 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Games

Touchdown Dance (Early Slate)

A.J. Brown, Marquise Brown, and Nick Chubb/D’Ernest Johnson

  • Brown: The Houston secondary is hot garbage and in four career games against the Texans, Brown has five touchdowns with at least one score in each game. He terrorizes this team and no one in the secondary can match up with him. Brown will score again versus Houston, en route to 15+ fantasy points.
  • M. Brown: Over the last four weeks, only the Jets, Texans, and Vikings have allowed more fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts than the Chicago Bears. Brown loves to get downfield, and when Baltimore wants to make a chunk play, it’s with Brown streaking downfield. I love Brown’s upside in this matchup and don’t rule out multiple touchdowns for him either.
  • Chubb/Johnson: If Nick Chubb is able to be cleared, he’s the play. If not, with no Kareem Hunt in the mix, Johnson is the play. This is all about the juicy matchup against Detroit. The Lions have allowed 16 touchdowns to opposing running backs this season. Yikes.

More or Less (HOU @ TEN)

D’Onta Foreman 40.5 Rushing Yards (MORE) and Brandin Cooks 71.5 Receiving Yards (LESS)

  • Foreman: Foreman is going to serve as Tennessee’s lead back in a game flow that lends itself to Tennessee flexing its muscles on the ground. Foreman logged 11 carries last week, and now he gets to face a Houston defense that has allowed the second-most rushing yards to running backs in 2021. This is a very low line for a revenge game narrative.
  • Cooks: For the 2021 season, no team has allowed more receiving yards to opposing wideouts than Tennessee. Over the last four weeks, they’ve still allowed the third most. So why are we going with the less here? Tennessee’s defense is playing quite well at the moment, and Tyrod Taylor looked bad in his return to action last week. Can the Houston offensive line hold up against a team that has nine sacks over the last two weeks, and 14 over the last four? It could be tough sledding for the Houston offense again. Also, not to mention that Cooks has at least 72 receiving yards in just two of his last six games.

More or Less (DET @ CLE)

T.J. Hockenson - 11.50 fantasy points (MORE) and Donovan Peoples-Jones - 9.5 fantasy points (LESS)

  • Hockenson: Hockenson has had an average of 10.4 targets per week in Weeks 6-8. Last week sucked, but this week he gets a Browns team that is not playing well together and look lost at times on defense. The forecast is also calling for rain this weekend which should lead to a ton of short passes and lots of targets for Hockenson. I can easily see 7 catches for 60 yards and a touchdown and that’s well over 11.5 fantasy points. Take the MORE.
  • Peoples-Jones: JPJ has only had three games so far this season where he scored in double-digits from a fantasy perspective. This week, while the defense on the other side is poor. An all-day rain is forecasted and then doesn’t leave lots of time for deep passes to Peoples-Jones. Therefore, I’m going to take the LESS for him this week.

More or Less (DAL @ KC)

Tyreek Hill – 19.5 fantasy points (MORE) and Ezekiel Elliott – 16.5 fantasy points (LESS)

  • Hill: Hill has a great matchup this week versus the Cowboys, who are ranked 17th in giving fantasy points to wide receivers. Hill excels when playing at home versus an average defense by averaging 32.25 fantasy per game and is 100% consistent. I’ll take the MORE for Hill this week.
  • Elliott: Zeke doesn’t do as well in this matchup. The Chiefs are ranked 17th in giving up fantasy points to running backs. However, Zeke doesn’t do as well in these game scenarios since he only averages 14.52 fantasy points per game and is 80% consistent. Not bad for season-long leagues, but isn’t enough to topple the 16.5 fantasy points threshold for this week. Take the LESS.