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Week 12 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Games

Touchdown Dance (Early Slate)

James Robinson, Rob Gronkowski, Christian McCaffrey

  • Robinson: The Falcons have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs this season, and they have allowed running backs to reach paydirt 11 times this season. The Jacksonville offense looks less putrid when they let Robinson put the offense on its back, and that’s what they should do in this matchup. I like Robinson to find the end zone at least once this week.
  • Gronkowski: The Colts have allowed six touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, and only the Eagles have allowed more receptions to the position than the Colts. Gronk saw eight targets this past week, and with that type of workload in a tight end friendly matchup, he’s hooking up with his good buddy for a score.
  • McCaffrey: The Dolphins have been tough on running backs of late, as they haven’t allowed a touchdown to an opposing running back in the last four weeks. Further investigation says it is a bit of fool’s gold, as they have faced Zack Moss/Devin Singletary, David Johnson/Phillip Lindsay, Devonta Freeman/Le’Veon Bell, and Michael Carter (injury). McCaffrey gets so much work in the Carolina offense and is always a threat for multiple scores.

More or Less (PHI @ NYG)

Miles Sanders 13.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Kenny Golladay 12.5 Fantasy Points (LESS)

  • Sanders: The Giants have allowed 4.4 YPC this season and from a fantasy perspective, only three teams have allowed more fantasy points per game to opposing running backs over the last four weeks than the Giants. Jordan Howard is dealing with a knee issue, so that’s one less mouth to feed in the Philadelphia backfield. Sanders saw 16 carries last week, and with a similar workload against this Giants defense, he should exceed 13.5 fantasy points.
  • Golladay: This one pains me, as I was hyping up Golladay all offseason. It hasn’t panned out yet, and it won’t in this matchup. Playing out wide opens him to seeing some Darius Slay and the Eagles have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing receivers over the last four weeks. Golladay will have less than 12.5 fantasy points in this matchup.

More or Less (LAR @ GB)

Cooper Kupp – 24.5 Fantasy Points (LESS) and Aaron Rodgers – 22.5 Fantasy Points (LESS)

  • Kupp: Kupp has been a machine so far this season in the fantasy world. But this week, it could be a little tougher for him to reach his goal. The 24.5 fantasy points is a pretty high number especially against a team (Packers) who rank seventh in giving up the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers so far this season. Kupp in the past has only averaged 15.48 fantasy points per game when playing on the road versus a good defense and has been 80% consistent. That’s great in a season-long league but when your threshold is 24.5, I’m taking the LESS for Kupp this week.
  • Rodgers: Rodgers also has a tough matchup this week in playing the Rams. The Rams are ranked seventh in giving up the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. Rodgers has also not fared well when playing at home versus a good defense as he has averaged 18.05 fantasy points per game and is only 25% consistent. This leaves me no choice but to choose LESS for him as well.

More or Less (LAC @ DEN)

Austin Ekeler – 19.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Jerry Jeudy - 13.5 Fantasy Points (LESS)

  • Ekeler: Ekeler has been one of the top fantasy running backs so far this season and even though he has a tough matchup this week versus the Broncos, he’s up to the task. The Broncos rank fifth in giving up the fewest fantasy points to running backs. However, Ekeler has averaged 23.53 points per game and is 100% consistent in those games. I’m taking the MORE for him this week.
  • Jeudy: Jeudy has not been consistent when healthy this year, but that hasn’t been very often. This week, he has a tough matchup versus the Chargers. The Chargers currently rank third in giving up the fewest points to wide receivers so far this year. Jeudy has only averaged 6.00 fantasy points per game and has only a 33% consistency rating in those games. I’m taking the LESS this week.