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Each week of the season, we’ll provide our favorite plays for that particular week on Monkey Knife Fight. Be sure to check out the weekly podcast as well for even more picks and a deeper look at the week’s slate!

Best Picks for Week 16 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Games

Touchdown Dance (Early Slate)

Jonathan Taylor, Cooper Kupp, and Travis Kelce

  • Taylor: Over the last four weeks, the Raiders have allowed seven touchdowns to running backs and the third-most fantasy points per game. Taylor has been the best running back in football this year, and uncertainty under center should lead to heavy volume (yet again) for the MVP hopeful.
  • Kupp: Wide receivers have accounted for eight touchdowns over the last four weeks against the Ravens, and when you look at the 2021 season as a whole, the Ravens have allowed 17 touchdowns to the position. Kupp has been the best wideout in football this season, and he’s a threat for multiple touchdowns each week. Those odds are only strengthened in this juicy matchup.
  • Kelce: Coming off the COVID-19 list, Kelce waltzes into a great matchup against a Cincinnati defense that has allowed seven touchdowns to opposing tight ends this year. In fact, only the Colts have allowed more receiving yards to the position. This is a perfect spot for Kelce to have a monster game in what should be one of the more exciting contests on the slate.

More or Less 

More or Less (HOU @ SF): Deebo Samuel 15.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Brandin Cooks 11.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

  • Samuel: Samuel is utilized so much in the offense that it’s hard to envision him going under this mark against the Houston Texans. Samuel has a touchdown in five of his last six games, and he has at least 15.5 fantasy points in a PPR format in seven of his last nine contests.
  • Cooks: Davis Mills is far better at home than on the road, but even on the road 11.5 fantasy points for a guy who has averaged 8.75 targets per game in contests that Mills has started is too low. Cooks has back-to-back 100 yard performances, and San Francisco is vulnerable in coverage. My biggest worry here is Mills’ drastic home/road splits, but other than the New England game, it hasn’t hurt Cooks too much.

More or Less (KC @ CIN): Patrick Mahomes - 22.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Joe Burrow - 20.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) 

  • Mahomes: Mahomes has been a little inconsistent so far this season, but this week should be a shoot-out between two outstanding passing offenses. The Bengals rank 14th in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. However, this isn’t a concern for Mahomes as he has averaged 36.50 fantasy points per game and has been 100% consistent in 2021 against average defenses on the road. I am taking the MORE for him this week.
     
  • Burrow: Joe lit up the Ravens last week who ranked 31st in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. This week, he gets Kansas City who ranks 29th. Burrow has averaged 36.28 fantasy points per game and has been 100% consistent when playing at home versus a bad defense. Therefore, I will take the MORE in his scenario as well.

More or Less (KC @ CIN): Travis Kelce - 17.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Tee Higgins - 16.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) 

  • Kelce: Kelce is 100% healthy and back in the lineup this week and should have a big week as the Bengals rank 26th in giving up fantasy points to tight ends. Kelce when playing on the road versus a bad defense has averaged 20.20 fantasy points per game and has been 86% consistent in those games. He’s an easy MORE this week.
  • Higgins: Higgins had a huge week last week and looks like he could repeat this week. Now, scoring over 40 fantasy points might be a stretch, but I can easily see him scoring over 16.5 fantasy points this week. In fact, in all three games this year where Higgins has played at home versus a bad defense, he’s never gone below 17 fantasy points. He’s worth taking a MORE again this week.