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Best Picks for Week 16 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Games

Touchdown Dance (Early Slate)

Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson, and D’Onta Foreman

  • Taylor: Taylor is very good. Jacksonville is very bad. Enough said. Carry on.
  • Jefferson: The Bears are one of just two teams (Arizona) to have allowed at least 20 receiving scores to wideouts this season. Jefferson is an absolute beast and with Kirk Cousins back under center, all cylinders should be firing for a massive game.
  • Foreman: Running backs against Houston are tried and true. Davis Mills is far better at home, but there’s no concern with the game script for Foreman. He only saw a handful of carries earlier this year against Houston, but give him 15+ carries in this one and I wouldn’t be surprised if he scored twice.

More or Less  

More or Less (TEN @ HOU): D’Onta Foreman 10.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Rex Burkhead 9.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

  • Foreman: Same reasoning as above. Houston is bleeding fantasy points to running backs, plus if you like revenge games, this one is for you. Sure, it didn’t work out the first time, but that first game against Houston was an outlier.
  • Burkhead: Just like we all expected, Rex Burkhead developed into a workhorse back in Houston. He’s logged 11+ carries in four straight games, and even has three or more carries in three of those four. Over his last four games, Burkhead has double-digit fantasy points in three of the four. Yes, it’s a tough matchup, but his work in the passing game should get him just above 9.5.

More or Less (PIT @ BAL): Najee Harris - 17.5 Fantasy Points (LESS) and Marquise Brown – 12.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

  • Harris: Harris has been great all season EXCEPT when he plays on the road against a top ten defense. The Ravens are in the Top 10. Harris has averaged 13.45 fantasy points per game and has only been 50% consistent in those games. I’m going with the LESS for Harris this week.
  • Brown: Brown has been fairly inconsistent this season, but he’s done very well when playing at home versus an average defense. The Steelers rank 17th in giving up fantasy points to wide receivers this year. Brown has averaged 21.15 fantasy points per game and has been 100% consistent in those matchups. I’m going with MORE for Brown.

More or Less (SF @ LAR): Cooper Kupp - 24.5 Fantasy Points (MORE) and Deebo Samuel 13.5 Fantasy Points (MORE)

  • Kupp: Let me just list some numbers: 12 receptions for 118 yards. That’s what Kupp needs to break the all-time records for most receptions and most yards in a season. If you add those up, they total 23.8 fantasy points. The threshold is 24.5 points. I think he gets his records and then some and exceeds 24.5 fantasy points for this week.
  • Samuel: This is a very low number for Samuel who has had an outstanding year. The Rams rank 13th in giving up fantasy points to receivers this season. Samuel has averaged 20.63 fantasy points per game and has been 100% consistent in those matchups. So exceeding 13.5 fantasy points is a no-brainer.