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Monkey Knife Fight Plays for Titans vs. Bengals

More Or Less

Joe Burrow 275.5 Passing Yards

Ryan Tannehill 225.5 Passing Yards

It’s the Divisional Round good people, and this week’s spotlight features not only one of the most intriguing team matchups but individually as well, with our focus on Joe Burrow and Ryan Tannehill. For me, Burrow’s outlook is a strong one. While he has been on fire in the second half, especially in the past five weeks, topping over 500 and 400 yards in that span, last week was a bit more modest production-wise. 

And a look at his recent numbers on the road would suggest that while there’s always big-play potential given the personnel, the gaudy numbers might not be there this week. The prognosis for Tannehill could depend on a few factors. The bar for him this week would be historically accurate, however, the Bengals secondary did give up some long completions to the Raiders, and A.J. Brown is a nightmare no matter who’s guarding him. Tannehill did throw for over 285 yards in the season finale, but Cincinnati’s pass rush is an upgrade from Houston’s, and excluding that game, has only passed for over the mark once in going on eight weeks.

Tater's Take

Both QBs fall short of their respective targets

Rapidfire

Passing Yards: Burrow vs. Tannehill (+50.5)

Receiving Yards: Brown vs. Ja'Marr Chase (+0.5)

Such a tantalizing number, given my notes above on the two signal-callers. As previously iterated, Burrow could have an average day at the office on the road, especially if the running game is able to gain traction. And it’s a similar case for Tannehill, especially if Derrick Henry returns and dominates. The key here is that an average day for Tannehill would still clear the threshold. Now on to basically what I consider a coin flip for the two receivers. It comes down to volume for me, and by default, I have to give the edge to Mr. Chase to have a slightly better afternoon.

Tater's Take

Tannehill won’t be able to finish within the margin

More targets equal more yardage for Chase